Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Space, Shipping, Climate, Infrastructure
0.188
Brier (Good)
0.112
Rolling-10
18,402 predictions15,914 resolvedCal. error: 4.4%Bias: -0.064 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.190
Brier (Good)
0.165
Rolling-10
18,349 predictions15,872 resolvedCal. error: 6.0%Bias: -0.079 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.194
Brier (Good)
0.122
Rolling-10
22,183 predictions16,626 resolvedCal. error: 7.8%Bias: -0.089 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 5 — Energy & Commodities
Oil/Gas/LNG, Power, OPEC+, Metals, Ag
0.200
Brier (Fair)
0.025
Rolling-10
6,766 predictions5,975 resolvedCal. error: 8.3%Bias: -0.039 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.202
Brier (Fair)
0.186
Rolling-10
21,185 predictions13,715 resolvedCal. error: 5.9%Bias: -0.074 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.205
Brier (Fair)
0.153
Rolling-10
24,278 predictions23,608 resolvedCal. error: 5.0%Bias: -0.041 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.208
Brier (Fair)
0.308
Rolling-10
19,133 predictions14,045 resolvedCal. error: 7.4%Bias: -0.125 (underconfident)
Domain Performance